Note: This section is now in read-only mode. |
Thanks for the answer!
No one else has mentioned that current stats were there. Thanks!
Each event is independent, like a roll of the dice, and predicting the next results is as much of a crap-shoot as the dice are. But working results, even though they don't directly relate, sway the normal odds; again, logically only. If last year stats suggest a 400 batting average, then each PA would provide a .400 chance of hitting (effected by pitcher hand and tiredness). Sosa's having a terrible season, is the exception to the rule, which could always happen, but the 'odds' would be against it. -> Calculate the odds of rolling a single die 10 times and getting any one number all ten rolls. (It could happen, but on the ninth consecutive roll resulting in the same number, I'd bet everything against it on the tenth...)