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I understand your point ... but

Posted By Tim A.

I understand your point and I assume that over the course of the 160 game season things will work out to the point of being close to where they should be.

But on the flip side of your argument about the need to construct a simulation where 160 games is a small sample size to avoid boredom ... If pitchers that had an ERA of around 3.0-4.0 are going to have an ERA of 6.0 - 7.0 and if hitters that had an OPS over 1.000 are going to have an OPS of around .650-.700 then what would be the point of scouting and drafting. You could just flip a coin and have better results.

I do understand the concept of there being some deviation.... And I assume that when I check back after 160 games that maybe Hampton's ERA will be closer to 4.0 than 7.0. But if it isn't then I have to wonder what is the point of scouting, drafting, and trading.