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An Example
Last year in K15 Jeff Bagwell was performing very poorly for me the first half of the season. Through about 65-70 games his battin average was hovering around .200 and his OPS was in the .700-.750 neighborhood. My team was in 4th place and I was annoyed so I came to the board and whined.
He got hotter the second half of the season (and so did the rest of my team) and finished with a simulated OPS of 0.940. This is compared to his real life OPS in 1999 of 1.045.
It is true that due to the early season slump he finished below what was expected but all things considered that is not an unrealistic deviation.
The key for me was to recognize when my team was struggling to stay in the race that things had to get better because I had about 4 key players drastically underperforming. When they did finally turn around the team started winning and I won the league championship from the wild card slot.