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Bottom Line
I'm not nearly as good a statistician as most of you. Heck, I'm not even sure I can spell it.
This much I am certain of: Day to Day Injury Risk shown will NOT degrade a player's performance. It MAY result in his being hurt during the game and therefore you run the risk that he will be unavailable at a crucial time even though you have him in the lineup.
That's the only risk you run by continuing to start him.
Dave N